Nikita Novikov

SEAT closure by 2029: timeline, reasons and Volkswagen's plans for CUPRA

A. Krivonosov

Volkswagen's internal plan would wind down the SEAT brand by the end of 2029 while moving products, sales and production structures to CUPRA.

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At the start of 2026, SEAT still had a model roadmap stretching all the way to 2029: Ibiza and Arona were due to get mild-hybrid powertrains in 2027, Leon a full-hybrid system in 2028, with further updates for the Leon family planned for 2029. In Volkswagen's internal strategy, however, there is no place for the brand itself beyond 2029.

According to WirtschaftsWoche, Volkswagen's management board has approved a plan under which the SEAT brand is to be wound down in an “orderly and cost-optimized” manner no later than the end of 2029. The document was prepared for the supervisory board meeting on September 3–4. Volkswagen declined to comment on the contents of the internal materials, saying they are still being discussed and approved by the competent bodies. For now, it is therefore more accurate to describe this as a group plan rather than an officially announced shutdown.

What is set to disappear is the SEAT brand, not the Spanish company SEAT S.A. Volkswagen still needs the factories, engineering units and corporate structure in Martorell, with their future tied primarily to CUPRA. The plan calls for a cost-optimized transfer of existing SEAT products, sales operations and production structures to CUPRA. The target set for the latter is 500,000–600,000 vehicles a year.

The shift is already clearly visible in sales. In 2025, CUPRA delivered 328,800 vehicles, up 32.5%, while SEAT fell 17% and ended the year at 257,400 units. CUPRA therefore accounted for about 56% of the two brands' combined sales and outsold SEAT by 71,400 vehicles.

The gap remained in the first half of 2026: CUPRA sold a record 170,100 vehicles, while SEAT reached 129,600. To hit the target stated in Volkswagen's new plan, CUPRA would need to increase volume by roughly another 52–82% compared with its 2025 result.

But the most telling figure is not in the sales table. The SEAT/CUPRA business posted record revenue of €15.3 billion in 2025, yet operating profit collapsed from €633 million a year earlier to just €1 million. Volkswagen's official reporting shows an operating margin of virtually zero — 0.0% versus 4.4% in 2024. The result was hit by pricing pressure, higher product costs, EU tariffs on the China-built CUPRA Tavascan, heavy transformation spending and negative one-off effects.

This is also where WirtschaftsWoche makes a factual error: it attributes the €633 million operating result to 2025, although that figure belongs to 2024. Volkswagen officially reports €1 million for 2025.

By the middle of 2026, the position had already improved. SEAT/CUPRA earned €122 million in operating profit, up from €38 million a year earlier, while the margin recovered from 0.5% to 1.6%. Even so, the course toward winding down SEAT as a separate brand appears to remain in place, judging by the documents reported by WirtschaftsWoche. That suggests this is not simply an emergency reaction to one bad financial year: Volkswagen wants to reduce overlap between brands, development costs and investment pressure within Brand Group Core.

For current SEAT owners, the plan provides for continued servicing and fulfillment of existing obligations. What exactly will happen to Ibiza, Arona and Leon after 2029 has not been disclosed. The document speaks only of transferring existing products and structures to CUPRA — that does not necessarily mean today's models will simply receive new badges.

If the plan is ultimately approved and implemented, the ending will be symbolic: SEAT, founded in 1950, will cease to exist as a car brand just before its 80th anniversary, while CUPRA, spun out as a standalone brand only in 2018, will take its place within Volkswagen Group.