16+

How state funding affects AvtoVAZ and LADA car sales

© A. Krivonosov
Explore how billions in state funding support AvtoVAZ and LADA sales, but may not drive innovation. Learn about sales trends and expert insights on the auto industry.
Michael Powers, Editor

Billions in state funding keep AvtoVAZ afloat, but they don't help it keep pace with the times. Unlike the situation in China, where the government also vigorously lobbies for local automakers and those companies, in return, produce technologically advanced vehicles, the Togliatti auto giant stands as an example of stagnation.

It's hard not to think that the already weak LADA sales we see today would collapse entirely if state support were cut. Or is that not the case? Does it not play the dominant role in selling AvtoVAZ's small cars?

State support programs are very important and necessary, not so much for AvtoVAZ itself but for consumers, who can get an average discount of 20-25% and buy a car that is essential for a young or large family, a first car, and so on, said Pavel Larin, Director of Strategic Communications at the insurance broker Mains, to SPEEDME.RU.

According to him, removing such programs would primarily hurt the buyers these benefits are designed for.

AvtoVAZ offers the most affordable new car—the Lada Granta. Competitors still can't produce anything similar for a comparable cost, and no such model competitor is foreseen in this price segment, the expert noted.

Lada

The Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee, Alexey Kalitsev, also advocates for a significant expansion of state support measures for the automotive industry as a whole. Without this, as well as without including more models in the list for taxis and various demand stimulation measures, a market turnaround toward positive growth seems difficult, he said.

It's not hard to understand the AEB's position, and its head is undoubtedly right—state support for the auto industry is indeed necessary. But this doesn't mean a company can absorb significant funding for years and still stand still, noted independent expert Georgy Vikhov. As a doctor acquaintance said, 'character can't be cured': so many years on support, and what we get in that time is the modest and not very modern Lada Iskra. One can't help but recall a monologue by a French comedian, with his painfully apt phrase: 'Lada—that's not AIDS. It's not contagious.'

The analyst reminded that in recent months, Lada car sales have shown negative dynamics, which is the best confirmation of the old saying 'throwing good money after bad.'

It turns out that selling in large volumes, as the automaker wants and plans, isn't working. Moreover, a decline in consumer interest in Lada products has been noted in the secondary market, something that hasn't happened in a long time. For example, last month LADA posted an 8% 'minus' (101,966 units versus 111,393 units in February 2025), and for the first two months of the current year, the drop is even greater at 12% (199,541 units versus 226,619 units). That's not a good signal, to put it plainly, Vikhov noted.